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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-06-19 13:34:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 191134 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, located several hundred miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure extending from the Yucatan Peninsula across adjacent portions of the southeastern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with winds to gale force several hundred miles east and northeast of the estimated center. While the low still lacks a well-defined center of circulation, gradual development is expected today through Tuesday while it moves across the southern and central Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected to continue over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba during the next day or two. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if necessary. For more information on this system, please see the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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