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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-07-17 01:05:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162305 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fernanda, located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 350 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. Upper-level winds are moderately conducive for further development, and this system will likely become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure centered about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja peninsula has become better defined during the past day or so. Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, this system has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days before upper- level winds become unfavorable for development. The low is expected to move slowly to the west or west-northwest during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Yet another area of low pressure is expected to form in the far eastern Pacific south of Mexico in a few days. Conditions appear favorable for some development of this system by late weekc while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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