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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-18 13:31:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181131 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jul 18 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fernanda located well to the east of Hilo, Hawaii, and on newly upgraded Tropical Storm Greg located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Satellite images indicate that organized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a low pressure system located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Although upper-level winds are currently only marginally conducive for development, only a small increase in the organization of this system could lead to the formation of a tropical depression at any time. This disturbance is expected to move slowly westward or west-southwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in the eastern Pacific Ocean south of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of the system this the weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Greg are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Greg are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Landsea

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