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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-20 19:28:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201728 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fernanda, located more than a thousand miles east of Hilo, Hawaii, on Tropical Storm Greg, located several hundred miles south- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Eight-E, located more than a thousand miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area centered several hundred miles south of Mexico continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression is expected to form well southwest of Mexico over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers in the far eastern Pacific southwest of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly favorable for development, and a tropical depression will likely form by early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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