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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-09-13 07:32:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130531 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure, located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico, have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the next day or so before it moves over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to begin spreading inland over southwestern Mexico Wednesday night. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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