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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-27 19:52:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 271752 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 27 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm John, located just inland over southwestern Mexico. Off the coast of southwestern Mexico: A broad low pressure system could form early next week off the coast of southwestern Mexico. Some slow development is possible after that time while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm John (EP5/EP102024)
2024-09-27 19:50:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JOHN MAKES LANDFALL... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 12:00 PM CST Fri Sep 27 the center of John was located near 18.3, -103.2 with movement NNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm John Public Advisory Number 19A
2024-09-27 19:50:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 271750 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm John Intermediate Advisory Number 19A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 1200 PM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 ...JOHN MAKES LANDFALL... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 103.2W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM WNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to Manzanillo A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm John was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 103.2 West. John is moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through today. On the forecast track, the center of John is forecast to move along the coast of southwestern Mexico today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected today, with a faster rate of weakening forecast by tonight as the center continues to interact with the higher terrain of southwestern Mexico. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Saturday, Tropical Storm John is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with locally over 10 inches across portions of the Mexican States of Guerrero and Michoacán. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with locally over 6 inches are expected today across the Mexican States of Colima and western Oaxaca.the Sierra Madre Del Sur mountains For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with John, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Storm surge is likely to produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue across coastal portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area through today. SURF: Swells associated with John are forecast to continue to affect the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico through tonight into Saturday, with the potential for dangerous surf and rip currents. Please see local statements for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category: Transportation and Logistics