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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-10-08 07:03:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

266 ABPZ20 KNHC 080503TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 7 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Octave, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Priscilla, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.South of Southern Mexico (EP90):Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located around 100 miles offshore of the GuatemalaMexico border remain disorganized. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week if the system remains over water. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, the disturbance is expected to produce periods of heavy rainfall along portions of the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico through the end of the week, which could lead to localized flooding.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.$$Forecaster Gibbs


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