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Hurricane Bud Forecast Advisory Number 5
2018-06-10 22:37:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUN 10 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 102037 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 2100 UTC SUN JUN 10 2018 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 THROUGH 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 104.2W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 104.2W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 103.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.4N 105.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.2N 106.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.0N 107.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.7N 108.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 21.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 24.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 104.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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