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Hurricane Bud Forecast Advisory Number 8
2018-06-11 16:39:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 11 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 111438 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC MON JUN 11 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 106.8W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 106.8W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.2N 107.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.8N 108.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.3N 108.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.7N 109.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 22.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 24.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 106.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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