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Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 13
2024-09-29 04:32:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 000 WTNT25 KNHC 290232 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 0300 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N 37.6W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 360SE 330SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.1N 37.6W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 38.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.1N 36.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 44.2N 33.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.4N 30.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 47.1N 28.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 49.2N 27.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 70SE 20SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 51.1N 26.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 55.0N 24.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 58.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.1N 37.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-29 01:21:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 282321 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 28 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaac, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Azores, and on Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL90): An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves toward the west and then northwest across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form around the middle part of next week. This system is expected to move northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico during the latter portion of next week, and interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-29 01:10:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 282310 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Sep 28 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southern and Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form off the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Thereafter, some slow development is possible while the system drifts westward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics