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Hurricane Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2024-09-29 10:38:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 000 FONT15 KNHC 290838 PWSAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 14
2024-09-29 10:38:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 000 WTNT25 KNHC 290838 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N 36.5W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 450SE 330SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N 36.5W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.3N 37.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.5N 34.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.5N 31.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.0N 28.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.8N 26.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 49.9N 25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 70SE 20SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 52.0N 24.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 56.4N 20.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 60.3N 16.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.6N 36.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 8
2024-09-29 10:38:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 290838 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.1W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.1W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 47.8W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 48.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N 49.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.4N 49.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N 48.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.8N 48.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 48.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics