je.st
news
Hurricane John Public Advisory Number 16A
2024-09-27 01:54:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 PM CST Thu Sep 26 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 262353 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane John Intermediate Advisory Number 16A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 600 PM CST Thu Sep 26 2024 ...CENTER OF JOHN JUST OFFSHORE THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF MICHOACAN... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ONGOING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 103.0W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...5 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warning from Tecpan de Galeana to Zihuatanejo has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Zihuatanejo to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to east of Zihuatanejo * West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 12 to 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane John was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 103.0 West. John is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (5 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of John is forecast to approach and move along the coast of southwestern Mexico or just inland later tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. John is expected to remain a hurricane until the center reaches the coast tonight. John is forecast to begin weakening quickly on Friday as the center moves along the coast or just inland. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Friday, Hurricane John is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches across portions of the Mexican States of Guerrero and Michoacán. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with locally up to 6 inches is expected across the Mexican States of Colima and western Oaxaca. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with John, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected along the coast within the Hurricane Warning area later tonight into early Friday. Winds to tropical storm strength are already ongoing along the coast and will continue to spread inland. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are currently occurring over portions of the coast within the Tropical Storm Warning area, and should continue through the night. SURF: Swells associated with John are forecast to continue to affect the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico through the week, with the potential for dangerous surf and rip currents. Please see local statements for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-27 01:06:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 262306 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Helene, located over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and on Tropical Storm Isaac, located over the central Subtropical Atlantic Ocean. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about one thousand miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. Recent satellite imagery suggests the system does not yet have a well-defined surface circulation. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development. A tropical depression is expected to form tonight or on Friday while the disturbance moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is then forecast to slow down and turn north-northwestward late Friday and Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Western Caribbean: An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development thereafter, while the system moves generally northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Helene (AT4/AL092024)
2024-09-27 00:59:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE HELENE NEARING THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST... ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND LIFE-THREATENING WINDS EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA... As of 8:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 the center of Helene was located near 28.7, -84.3 with movement NNE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 942 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics