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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 45
2017-09-16 16:41:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 161441 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 72.2W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......130NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 180SE 180SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 72.2W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 72.1W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.5N 72.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.8N 72.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.4N 72.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 190SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 37.2N 71.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...210NE 190SE 150SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 41.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 72.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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