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Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 18
2015-10-19 10:41:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 190841 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 0900 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 136.4W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 136.4W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 136.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 10.3N 137.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 10.8N 139.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.4N 141.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.3N 142.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.3N 144.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 146.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N 146.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 136.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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