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Tropical Depression Willa Public Advisory Number 17

2018-10-24 10:36:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 240835 CCA TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Willa Advisory Number 17...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 2018 Corrected location relative to Durango Mexico ...WILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 103.6W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ENE OF DURANGO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Willa was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 103.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. The forecast track will continue to bring Wilma farther inland over west-central and northern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast and Willa is expected to dissipate by early afternoon. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: Storm surge levels along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico in southern Sinaloa and Nayarit will gradually subside this morning. RAINFALL: Rainfall associated with Willa will continue to diminish today as the depression weakens. Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with maximum totals of 6 inches possible from eastern Durango, northern Zacateca and southern Coahuila. This rain will cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory. SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central mainland Mexico, and the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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