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Tropical Storm ALVIN Forecast Advisory Number 5
2013-05-16 16:31:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU MAY 16 2013 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 161431 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012013 1500 UTC THU MAY 16 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 107.7W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 107.7W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 107.3W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 9.9N 108.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 10.7N 110.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.2N 112.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.6N 113.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 13.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 13.5N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 107.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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