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Tropical Storm ANDREA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2013-06-07 04:32:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013 000 FONT11 KNHC 070231 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 0300 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 4 9 13 19 21 NA TROP DEPRESSION 14 26 31 32 32 30 NA TROPICAL STORM 85 68 55 50 45 45 NA HURRICANE 1 3 4 6 4 5 NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 3 4 5 4 4 NA HUR CAT 2 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40KT 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT 35KT NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 9(25) X(25) X(25) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) X(28) X(28) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 29(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 22(22) 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 31(31) 8(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW YORK CITY 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NEWARK NJ 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 34 X 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 18(18) 16(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X 18(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 44(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) NORFOLK NAS 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 1 46(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) NORFOLK VA 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 27(27) 11(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) WALLOPS CDA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 3 15(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 39(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 49(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 16 51(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MYRTLE BEACH 34 51 21(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) MYRTLE BEACH 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 77 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) CHARLESTON SC 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 76 X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) MAYPORT NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 34 40 X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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