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Tropical Storm Bud Forecast Advisory Number 4
2018-06-10 16:31:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUN 10 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 101431 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC SUN JUN 10 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BUD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 103.2W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.7N 104.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.0N 106.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.8N 107.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.4N 107.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 21.7N 109.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N 111.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 103.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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