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Tropical Storm Colin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2022-07-02 23:31:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022 466 FONT13 KNHC 022035 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032022 2100 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 4 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) RALEIGH NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 9 33(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 35 6(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) NEW RIVER NC 34 34 18(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) NEW RIVER NC 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 42 11(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) MOREHEAD CITY 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 57 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) SURF CITY NC 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) BALD HEAD ISL 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) FLORENCE SC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 28 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MYRTLE BEACH 34 21 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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