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Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 4
2024-09-26 22:50:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 000 WTNT25 KNHC 262050 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 50.6W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 50SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 50.6W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 51.2W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 37.6N 48.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 38.2N 45.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 39.2N 42.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 40.5N 38.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.9N 35.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.0N 33.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 110SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 44.2N 27.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 45.5N 22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N 50.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Helene Forecast Advisory Number 14
2024-09-26 22:50:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 007 WTNT24 KNHC 262040 TCMAT4 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 84.6W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......240NE 270SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 310SE 390SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 84.6W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 84.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.5N 83.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.8N 85.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT...120NE 330SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 37.0N 86.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.1N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.1N 87.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 84.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 27/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane John Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2024-09-26 22:45:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 432 FOPZ15 KNHC 262039 PWSEP5 HURRICANE JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MANZANILLO 34 3 17(20) 7(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MANZANILLO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) L CARDENAS 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ZIHUATANEJO 34 53 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category: Transportation and Logistics