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Tropical Storm JULIO Forecast Advisory Number 3

2014-08-04 16:40:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 041439 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 119.4W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 119.4W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 118.8W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.3N 121.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.4N 124.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.7N 126.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.1N 129.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.0N 134.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.7N 140.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N 146.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 119.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BERG

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