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Tropical Storm Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 8
2024-09-29 10:38:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 290838 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.1W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.1W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 47.8W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 48.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N 49.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.4N 49.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N 48.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.8N 48.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 48.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-29 07:25:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 290525 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 28 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southern and Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form off the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico in a few days. Thereafter, some slow development is possible while the system drifts westward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-29 07:22:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 290522 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaac, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Azores, and on Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL90): An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the early or middle part of this week while the system moves toward the west and then northwest across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form around the middle part of this week. This system is expected to move northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico during the latter portion of this week, and interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics