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Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 45
2018-10-07 16:49:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 000 WTNT23 KNHC 071448 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 1500 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 51.4W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 240SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 320SE 360SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 51.4W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 51.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.2N 49.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 200SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 35.4N 47.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.2N 44.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 160SE 180SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.6N 41.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 170SE 180SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.1N 36.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N 31.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N 28.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 51.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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