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Tropical Storm OCTAVE Public Advisory Number 7
2013-10-14 16:43:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT MON OCT 14 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 141443 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013 800 AM PDT MON OCT 14 2013 ...OCTAVE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT TURNS NORTHWARD... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.6N 113.7W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.7 WEST. OCTAVE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TONIGHT. A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD OCCUR BY TUESDAY MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND OCTAVE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY BY THE TIME IT NEARS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. A FISHING VESSEL JUST EAST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED WINDS OF 45 MPH...75 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY OCTAVE ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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