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Tropical Storm Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 1
2018-09-29 17:27:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1530 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 982 WTPZ21 KNHC 291527 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1530 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.1W AT 29/1530Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.1W AT 29/1530Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 101.5W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 12.7N 103.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.9N 105.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.9N 107.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.8N 109.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N 117.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 102.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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