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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Forecast Advisory Number 60

2019-09-08 04:31:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 080231 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 60 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM LOWER EAST PUBNICO TO BRULE * WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * MAGDALEN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM AVONPORT TO NORTH OF LOWER EAST PUBNICO * FUNDY NATIONAL PARK TO SHEDIAC * STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR * HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND * MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR * MAGDALEN ISLANDS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N 62.1W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 50 KT.......140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT.......270NE 240SE 210SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..320NE 600SE 660SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.3N 62.1W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 45.2N 62.9W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 49.0N 60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 50 KT...140NE 170SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...330NE 300SE 240SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 52.0N 54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...320NE 330SE 360SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 54.5N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 56.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 300SE 300SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.3N 62.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Graphics

2019-09-08 01:46:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 07 Sep 2019 23:46:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 07 Sep 2019 21:24:51 GMT

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Public Advisory Number 59A

2019-09-08 01:46:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Sat Sep 07 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 072346 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 59A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 800 PM AST Sat Sep 07 2019 ...DORIAN RACING NORTHEASTWARD OVER NOVA SCOTIA... ...VERY STRONG WINDS AFFECTING MOST OF NOVA SCOTIA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...45.0N 62.9W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM NE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from East of Bar Harbor to Eastport Maine has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Eastern Nova Scotia from Lower East Pubnico to Brule * Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke's Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Prince Edward Island * Magdalen Islands A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Prince Edward Island * Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to north of Lower East Pubnico * Fundy National Park to Shediac * Stone's Cove to Indian Harbour * Hawke's Bay to Fogo Island * Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour * Magdalen Islands A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in this case within the next 12 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian was estimated near latitude 45.0 North, longitude 62.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is racing northeastward near 30 mph (48 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. After that, a turn toward the east-northeast is expected. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian should continue to move over Nova Scotia during the next few hours, then move over the Gulf of St. Lawrence near Prince Edward Island tonight. The cyclone should then pass near or over northern Newfoundland and eastern Labrador late tonight or Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds remain near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts, and these winds are occuring primarily over water. The post-tropical cyclone is expected to weaken during the next couple of days, and it is forecast to drop below hurricane strength by Sunday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) to the south of the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). Hart Island, Nova Scotia, recently reported a wind gust of 76 mph (122 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to continue over portions of Nova Scotia during the next few hours. Hurricane conditions are also expected elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area later tonight. Hurricane conditions are also possible in the Hurricane Watch area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area late tonight and Sunday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia. RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Saturday Night: Nova Scotia...3 to 5 inches, isolated 7 inches. New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island...2 to 4 inches Newfoundland and far eastern Quebec...1 to 2 inches These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding. SURF: Large swells are increasing along the coast in Atlantic Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next few days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S. will continue for a couple of more days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian (AT5/AL052019)

2019-09-08 01:06:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DORIAN RACING NORTHEASTWARD OVER NOVA SCOTIA... ...VERY STRONG WINDS AFFECTING MOST OF NOVA SCOTIA... As of 8:00 PM AST Sat Sep 7 the center of Dorian was located near 45.0, -62.9 with movement NE at 30 mph. The minimum central pressure was 960 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

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