je.st
news
Tag: darby
Summary for Tropical Storm DARBY (EP5/EP052016)
2016-07-20 04:30:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DARBY STILL WITH 65 MPH WINDS... ...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ONLY SLOWLY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Tue Jul 19 the center of DARBY was located near 20.0, -137.8 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
tropical storm
Tropical Storm DARBY Public Advisory Number 34
2016-07-20 04:30:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 200230 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 800 PM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ...DARBY STILL WITH 65 MPH WINDS... ...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ONLY SLOWLY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 137.8W ABOUT 1125 MI...1810 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Darby was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 137.8 West. Darby is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm DARBY Forecast Advisory Number 34
2016-07-20 04:30:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 200230 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 0300 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 137.8W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 137.8W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 137.2W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.0N 139.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.8N 141.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N 144.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.2N 146.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.1N 150.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.2N 152.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 22.0N 154.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 137.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm DARBY Graphics
2016-07-19 17:08:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Jul 2016 14:35:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Jul 2016 15:04:38 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
tropical storm
Tropical Storm DARBY Forecast Discussion Number 32
2016-07-19 16:43:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 191443 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016 Conventional satellite imagery shows that the inner core cloud tops have warmed since last night and deep convective banding has become fragmented. Although Darby has exhibited an intermittent ragged eye feature, a blend of the subjective Final-T and CI-numbers, and the objective ADT estimate, yield an intensity of 60 kt. Additionally, the ambiguity solution of an earlier ASCAT overpass revealed only a couple of 50-55 kt winds over the northern quadrant. Accordingly, Darby's initial intensity has been lowered to 60 kt for this advisory. The cyclone is currently traversing sub-25C water, but should be moving back over slightly warmer water east of the Hawaiian Islands near the 36 hour period. Darby, however, will also be moving into a more stable thermodynamic environment and modest southwesterly shear around the same time. Therefore, these contributing factors are expected to cause Darby to gradually weaken through the period. The official intensity forecast is based primarily on the model consensus, IVCN, which includes the HWRF hurricane model, and is above both the SHIPS and LGEM statistical-dynamical intensity models. The track forecast philosophy remains similar to the previous forecast. The cyclone should continue on a generally westward heading to the south of a mid-tropospheric ridge anchored along 30N for the next few days. At the 96 hour period, Darby is forecast to slow its forward speed as it encounters a growing weakness in the ridge while a mid- to upper-level low digs north of the Hawaiian Islands. This synoptic feature should turn Darby gradually northwestward, east of the Big Island. The NHC forecast is located between the TVCE multi-model consensus and both the GFS and ECMWF ensemble mean guidance which are both situated north of the Hawaiian Islands. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/1500Z 19.8N 135.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 20.1N 137.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 20/1200Z 20.1N 139.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 21/0000Z 20.1N 141.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 21/1200Z 19.7N 143.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 22/1200Z 19.4N 148.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 23/1200Z 19.9N 151.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 120H 24/1200Z 21.6N 153.4W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical