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Tropical Storm MARIE Public Advisory Number 25
2014-08-28 04:34:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 280234 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 800 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2014 ...MARIE WEAKENING AND LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.8N 126.4W ABOUT 755 MI...1215 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.4 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED EARLY THURSDAY...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIE HAS MOVED OVER COLD WATER...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MARIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY...AND THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRIDAY. LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm MARIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2014-08-28 04:34:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 280234 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm MARIE Forecast Advisory Number 25
2014-08-28 04:33:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 280233 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 90SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..510NE 330SE 240SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 126.4W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 125.7W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.0N 128.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...140NE 50SE 0SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.4N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.6N 133.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.5N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 30.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 30.0N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 126.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm MARIE Graphics
2014-08-27 22:35:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2014 20:34:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2014 20:34:48 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm MARIE (EP3/EP132014)
2014-08-27 22:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MARIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 the center of MARIE was located near 23.1, -125.0 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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