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Hurricane MARIE Graphics

2014-08-27 05:18:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2014 02:35:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2014 03:07:15 GMT

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Summary for Hurricane MARIE (EP3/EP132014)

2014-08-27 04:34:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...MARIE GRADUALLY WEAKENING OVER COLDER WATER... As of 8:00 PM PDT Tue Aug 26 the center of MARIE was located near 21.6, -121.4 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.

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Hurricane MARIE Forecast Advisory Number 21

2014-08-27 04:33:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 27 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 270233 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 0300 UTC WED AUG 27 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 121.4W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 15SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT.......210NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 500SE 270SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 121.4W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 120.8W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.4N 123.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.6N 125.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.0N 128.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 100SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.5N 130.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.5N 132.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 30.0N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 29.5N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 121.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane MARIE Graphics

2014-08-26 22:36:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 26 Aug 2014 20:35:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 26 Aug 2014 20:34:48 GMT

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Hurricane MARIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2014-08-26 22:34:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 262034 PWSEP3 HURRICANE MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 2100 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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