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Summary for Hurricane MARIE (EP3/EP132014)

2014-08-26 16:35:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...MARIE GRADUALLY WEAKENING... ...LARGE SWELLS APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Aug 26 the center of MARIE was located near 20.7, -119.0 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 965 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

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Hurricane MARIE Public Advisory Number 19

2014-08-26 16:35:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 261435 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014 ...MARIE GRADUALLY WEAKENING... ...LARGE SWELLS APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 119.0W ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.0 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS ...AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO DECAY INTO A TROPICAL STORM TOMORROW. MARIE IS STILL A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD AND WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY. LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THESE SWELLS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane MARIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2014-08-26 16:35:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 261435 PWSEP3 HURRICANE MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane MARIE Forecast Advisory Number 19

2014-08-26 16:35:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 261435 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 119.0W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 160SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..440NE 450SE 300SW 410NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 119.0W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 118.4W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.6N 120.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.6N 123.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.7N 125.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.1N 128.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.1N 131.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 30.5N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.5N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 119.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane MARIE Graphics

2014-08-26 11:19:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 26 Aug 2014 08:39:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 26 Aug 2014 09:07:16 GMT

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