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Summary for Hurricane MARIE (EP3/EP132014)
2014-08-24 04:44:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MARIE GAINING STRENGTH... ...LARGE SWELLS AND HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS AFFECTING THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sat Aug 23 the center of MARIE was located near 15.7, -108.7 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
Hurricane MARIE Public Advisory Number 9
2014-08-24 04:44:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2014 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 240244 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 800 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...MARIE GAINING STRENGTH... ...LARGE SWELLS AND HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS AFFECTING THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 108.7W ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY LATE MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND MARIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY. SWELLS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BY MONDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Hurricane MARIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2014-08-24 04:44:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 240244 PWSEP3 HURRICANE MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 4 18(22) 5(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 1 7( 8) 66(74) 20(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) ISLA CLARION 50 X 1( 1) 30(31) 40(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 11(11) 33(44) 3(47) X(47) X(47) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Hurricane MARIE Forecast Advisory Number 9
2014-08-24 04:43:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 240243 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 108.7W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 210SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 108.7W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 108.1W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.2N 110.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.8N 112.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.7N 113.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.8N 115.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.4N 119.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 24.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 26.7N 129.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 108.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Hurricane MARIE Graphics
2014-08-23 23:24:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 23 Aug 2014 20:47:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 23 Aug 2014 21:09:07 GMT
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