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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-16 07:25:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160525 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little over the past several hours. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward or northwestward into less conducive environmental conditions on Monday, and the chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone appears to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another low pressure area located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds and proximity to dry air are expected to inhibit significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-16 01:30:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152330 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad low pressure area located about 750 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less organized this afternoon. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward or northwestward into less conducive environmental conditions on Monday, and the chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone appears to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another low pressure area located about 1600 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-15 19:30:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has not become any better organized since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are still expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to form through tomorrow morning. After that time, cool waters and strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development while the system moves toward the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-15 13:39:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151139 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce widespread showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, cold SSTs and strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-15 07:31:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150531 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 14 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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