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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-09-14 01:35:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132335 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 13 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Max, located near the southwest coast of Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity continues to show signs of organization, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly northwestward. For more information on this system, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing persistent shower and thunderstorm activity. Satellite imagery indicates that a well-defined center does not currently exist and additional development, if any, is expected to be slow to occur while this system moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. Public Advisories on Max are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Max are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-09-13 19:45:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131745 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 13 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and on newly formed Tropical Depression Sixteen-E located near the southwest coast of Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity has been gradually increasing in organization, and conditions are favorable for a tropical depression to form during the next day or two while the system moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is located about 1500 miles east- southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. This system is showing some signs of organization, but additional development, if any, is expected to be slow to occur while it moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Sixteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-09-13 13:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131138 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 13 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of disturbed weather associated with a low pressure system is centered just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. This activity continues to show signs of organization and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tomorrow before the system moves inland over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to begin spreading inland over southwestern Mexico later today. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is located more than 1700 miles west-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-09-13 07:32:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130531 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure, located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico, have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the next day or so before it moves over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to begin spreading inland over southwestern Mexico Wednesday night. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-09-13 01:33:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the next day or so before it moves over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to spread inland over southwestern Mexico later this week. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it meanders during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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