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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-12 19:48:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121748 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression may form within the next day or two before the system moves over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to spread over the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or two. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week, while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Landsea

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-12 13:51:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121151 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly north or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or two. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week, while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Landsea

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-12 07:24:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120524 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 11 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form toward the end of the week while the system moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula during the next couple of days. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-12 01:53:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112353 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 11 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula in a day or two. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development after that time while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-11 19:45:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111745 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 11 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The remnants of Katia, located about 500 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are associated with a well-defined low pressure center. Showers and thunderstorms with this system have become better organized during the last day or so. Despite upper-level winds appearing to be hostile for development over the next few days, any additional improvement in the convective organization could lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula by the middle of the week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development after that time while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Landsea

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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