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Tropical Storm Leslie Graphics
2018-10-06 16:49:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Oct 2018 14:49:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Oct 2018 15:22:06 GMT
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leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2018-10-06 16:47:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 FONT13 KNHC 061447 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Summary for Tropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132018)
2018-10-06 16:47:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE TURNING EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Oct 6 the center of Leslie was located near 37.7, -55.8 with movement E at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Public Advisory Number 41
2018-10-06 16:47:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 06 2018 000 WTNT33 KNHC 061446 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 06 2018 ...LESLIE TURNING EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.7N 55.8W ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 55.8 West. Leslie is now moving toward the east near 9 mph (15 km/h). A faster motion toward the east and east-southeast is expected through the middle of next week, taking Leslie across the central and eastern Atlantic. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect portions of the northeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, the Greater and Lesser Antilles, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office as these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 41
2018-10-06 16:46:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 WTNT23 KNHC 061446 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 55.8W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......250NE 250SE 240SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 360SE 300SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 55.8W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 56.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.6N 54.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 220SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 37.3N 51.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...170NE 200SE 200SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.6N 49.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 170SE 170SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 35.7N 46.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 41.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 140SE 160SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 30.0N 37.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 29.0N 31.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N 55.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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