je.st
news
Tag: leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Public Advisory Number 39
2018-10-06 04:31:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 05 2018 000 WTNT33 KNHC 060231 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 05 2018 ...INDOMITABLE LESLIE EXPECTED TO STIR UP THE ATLANTIC WATERS FOR A FEW MORE DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.6N 57.2W ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 57.2 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the east with slight increase in forward speed is expected on Saturday, and a motion toward the east-southeast is expected Saturday night through Monday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next few days. Leslie is a large cyclone, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect portions of the eastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater and Lesser Antilles, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office as these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 39
2018-10-06 04:30:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 WTNT23 KNHC 060230 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0300 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 57.2W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT.......250NE 220SE 190SW 220NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 360SE 360SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 57.2W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 57.5W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 37.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...220NE 210SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 190SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 36.5N 51.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 190SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.0N 49.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 140SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 31.0N 41.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 29.0N 38.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 57.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Leslie Graphics
2018-10-05 22:44:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Oct 2018 20:44:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Oct 2018 21:22:03 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Discussion Number 38
2018-10-05 22:40:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Oct 05 2018 000 WTNT43 KNHC 052040 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Leslie Discussion Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 PM AST Fri Oct 05 2018 Leslie is currently maintaining a small central convective feature and an outer convective band in the southeastern semicircle. The various satellite intensity estimates have decreased a little, so the initial intensity is nudged downward to 50 kt. This is still a little above the estimates from TAFB, SAB, and the CIMSS satellite consensus. While no data was available from the inner core, scatterometer overpasses this morning suggests that Leslie has changed little in size since last night. Leslie has now slowed its forward motion and is starting to turn more eastward, with an initial motion of 030/3. A turn to the east is expected during the next 24 h, followed by a turn toward the east-southeast by 36 h as Leslie encounters the southern edge of the mid-latitude westerlies. A general motion toward the east-southeast or southeast should then continue for the remainder of the forecast period. The latest guidance again shifted southward, and the new forecast track, which is in best agreement with the TVCN consensus model, is shifted to the south of the previous track The forecast track again takes Leslie over cooler waters around day 2, into slightly stronger shear around day 3, and over warmer water with decreasing shear around days 4-5. However, the structure of Leslie is not currently conducive for rapid changes in intensity either up or down. Thus, the intensity forecast, which has only minor tweaks from the previous forecast, follows the trend of the previous forecast and the guidance in showing gradual weakening near 48 h, followed by slight intensification near 96-120 h. Large swells generated by Leslie are expected to continue during the next few days across the eastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater and Lesser Antilles, and Atlantic Canada. Please consult products from your local weather office as these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/2100Z 36.2N 58.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 06/0600Z 36.7N 57.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 06/1800Z 36.7N 55.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 07/0600Z 36.4N 53.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 07/1800Z 35.8N 51.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 08/1800Z 34.0N 48.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 09/1800Z 31.5N 44.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 10/1800Z 30.0N 42.0W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132018)
2018-10-05 22:39:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE WEAKENS A LITTLE AND SLOWS ITS FORWARD SPEED... As of 5:00 PM AST Fri Oct 5 the center of Leslie was located near 36.2, -58.1 with movement NNE at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
leslie
Sites : [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] next »