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Summary for Tropical Depression FRED (AT1/AL062015)

2015-09-06 16:31:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FRED MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 6 the center of FRED was located near 25.7, -43.2 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression FRED Public Advisory Number 31

2015-09-06 16:31:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 061431 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1100 AM AST SUN SEP 06 2015 ...FRED MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 43.2W ABOUT 1270 MI...2045 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 43.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward is expected by tonight. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Depression FRED Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31

2015-09-06 16:31:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 061431 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Depression FRED Forecast Advisory Number 31

2015-09-06 16:31:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 061431 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 43.2W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 43.2W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 43.2W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 42.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.8N 40.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.2N 38.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.4N 36.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.8N 34.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 32.9N 31.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 31.5N 31.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 43.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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