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Tropical Storm FRED Graphics

2015-09-05 04:51:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 05 Sep 2015 02:33:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 05 Sep 2015 02:50:48 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm FRED (AT1/AL062015)

2015-09-05 04:34:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FRED REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS... As of 11:00 PM AST Fri Sep 4 the center of FRED was located near 22.8, -40.1 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm FRED Public Advisory Number 25

2015-09-05 04:34:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 04 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 050234 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 04 2015 ...FRED REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.8N 40.1W ABOUT 1305 MI...2100 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 22.8 North, longitude 40.1 West. Fred is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and a decrease in forward speed are forecast on Saturday, followed by a turn toward the north on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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Tropical Storm FRED Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

2015-09-05 04:33:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 050233 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 0300 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Tropical Depression FRED Graphics

2015-09-04 23:14:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2015 20:33:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2015 21:07:50 GMT

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