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Hurricane FRED Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2015-08-31 10:36:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 310836 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 22.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Summary for Hurricane FRED (AT1/AL062015)
2015-08-31 10:36:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... As of 5:00 AM AST Mon Aug 31 the center of FRED was located near 15.6, -22.9 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
Hurricane FRED Public Advisory Number 6
2015-08-31 10:36:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 310835 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 500 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015 ...HURRICANE FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 22.9W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM NE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cape Verde Islands A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 22.9 West. Fred is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands. A northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today as Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of the Cape Verde Islands this morning, with hurricane conditions by this afternoon. Conditions will rapidly deteriorate on the island of Boa Vista during the next couple of hours. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. These rains could produce life- threatening flash flooding and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane FRED Graphics
2015-08-31 07:55:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 05:55:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 02:50:50 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane FRED (AT1/AL062015)
2015-08-31 07:54:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FRED BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE EASTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... As of 2:00 AM AST Mon Aug 31 the center of FRED was located near 15.3, -22.5 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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