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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-05-10 19:36:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101736 CCA TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1040 AM PDT Thu May 10 2018 Correction to change Thursday to Friday in the time of the next outlook issuance For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Although the shower activity associated with the broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has increased this morning, the low-level circulation is elongated and remains poorly defined. However, only a small increase in organization could lead to the formation of a tropical depression later today or early Friday before the upper-level winds become highly unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system should move slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest during the next couple of days. Another Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued by 11 AM PDT on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-05-10 19:21:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101720 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1020 AM PDT Thu May 10 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Although the shower activity associated with the broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has increased this morning, the low-level circulation is elongated and remains poorly defined. However, only a small increase in organization could lead to the formation of a tropical depression later today or early Friday before the upper-level winds become highly unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system should move slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest during the next couple of days. Another Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued by 11 AM PDT on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-05-10 04:45:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100245 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 745 PM PDT Wed May 9 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with the broad low pressure area located about 1250 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less organized since yesterday, and upper-level winds are becoming less favorable for development. While there is still a chance that a tropical depression could form tonight or Thursday before stronger upper-level winds become established over the system, the chances of tropical cyclone formation continue to diminish. Another Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued by 11 AM PDT on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-05-09 19:25:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 091725 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1025 AM PDT Wed May 9 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: After a period of increased organization during the past 24 hours, the shower activity associated with the broad area of low pressure located more than 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has markedly decreased. It appears that the disturbance is already reaching an unfavorable environment, and the chances of tropical cyclone formation are diminishing. However, a tropical depression could still form later today before strong upper-level winds become established over the system on Thursday. Another Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued by 11 AM PDT on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-05-09 09:16:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 090716 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 AM PDT Wed May 9 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized this morning in association with a broad area of low pressure located more than 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate winds of 30 to 35 mph were occurring on the northwest side of the disturbance, the low-level circulation remains elongated. However, only a slight increase in the amount and organization of the thunderstorm activity or an improvement in the surface wind field would result in the formation of a tropical depression later today while the system moves northwestward at around 10 mph. By late Thursday, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 11 AM PDT later today, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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