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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-17 01:05:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162305 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fernanda, located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 350 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. Upper-level winds are moderately conducive for further development, and this system will likely become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure centered about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja peninsula has become better defined during the past day or so. Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, this system has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days before upper- level winds become unfavorable for development. The low is expected to move slowly to the west or west-northwest during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Yet another area of low pressure is expected to form in the far eastern Pacific south of Mexico in a few days. Conditions appear favorable for some development of this system by late weekc while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-16 19:34:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161733 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fernanda, located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located about 200 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become a little better defined today. In addition, the associated showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization. Although upper-level winds are not particularly conducive for additional development, this system is still likely to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized during the past several hours in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for development. This system is expected to move slowly westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-16 13:55:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161154 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fernanda, located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for gradual development and a tropical depression could during the next few days while the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja peninsula are associated with another broad area of low pressure. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive and any development should be slow to occur as the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-16 07:39:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160539 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 15 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fernanda, located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has changed little. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are associated with a trough of low pressure. Development, if any, is expected to be slow to occur as the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-16 01:20:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152320 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Jul 15 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fernanda, located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico has become a little better organized over the past 24 hours. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Development, if any, is expected to be slow to occur as the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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