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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-07 07:17:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070517 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 6 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined low pressure system, located about 800 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Associated shower activity continues to become better organized, and environmental conditions are conducive for a tropical depression to form on Friday while the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-07 01:38:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 062338 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Jul 6 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 800 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have continued to gradually become better organized today. Conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-06 19:31:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 6 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized since yesterday in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-06 13:28:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061128 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jul 6 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression this weekend while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-06 07:47:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060547 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 5 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area located about 750 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to decrease. The low is moving westward at 10 to 15 mph into an increasingly less favorable environment, and development of this system is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Showers and thunderstorms are slowly becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression this weekend while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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