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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-06 01:40:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052340 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Jul 5 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area located about 675 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have continued to decrease this afternoon. The low is moving westward at 10 to 15 mph into less favorable environment conditions, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical depressions are decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased today in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression this weekend while the disturbance moves generally westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-05 19:40:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051740 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 5 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have decreased during the past several hours in association with a low pressure system located about 600 miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula. This low is beginning to move into less favorable environmental conditions, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical depression are decreasing. The low is expected to move westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression this weekend while the disturbance moves generally westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-05 13:34:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051134 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jul 5 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite data suggests that a low pressure system located about 550 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better defined this morning. However, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain displaced well to the south of the center. This system still has the potential to become a tropical depression later today or tonight before it moves westward into a less favorable environment. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression this weekend while the disturbance moves generally westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-05 07:07:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 050507 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 4 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure area located about 550 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little more concentrated this evening. However, satellite data indicates that a well-defined circulation does not yet exist. This system still has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next day or two before it moves westward into a less favorable environment. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression late this week or this weekend while the disturbance moves generally westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is located over the far eastern North Pacific, a few hundred miles south of the coast of El Salvador. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur, due in part to its close proximity to the disturbance to the west. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-07-05 01:40:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 042339 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jul 4 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure area located about 550 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized during the afternoon, but satellite data indicates that a well-defined circulation does not yet exist. This system still has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next day or two before it moves westward into a less favorable environment. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression late this week or this weekend while the disturbance moves generally westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is located over the far eastern North Pacific, a few hundred miles south of the coast of El Salvador. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur, due in part to its close proximity to the disturbance to the west. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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