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Summary for Hurricane AMANDA (EP1/EP012014)

2014-05-25 22:32:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AMANDA BEGINNING TO WEAKEN... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun May 25 the center of AMANDA was located near 12.3, -111.3 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 935 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 150 mph.

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Hurricane AMANDA Public Advisory Number 13

2014-05-25 22:32:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN MAY 25 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 252032 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 200 PM PDT SUN MAY 25 2014 ...CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AMANDA BEGINNING TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 111.3W ABOUT 740 MI...1185 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST. AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. AMANDA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane AMANDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2014-05-25 22:32:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 25 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 252032 PWSEP1 HURRICANE AMANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 2100 UTC SUN MAY 25 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 16(25) 5(30) 1(31) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) CLIPPERTON IS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane AMANDA Forecast Advisory Number 13

2014-05-25 22:31:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 25 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 252031 TCMEP1 HURRICANE AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 2100 UTC SUN MAY 25 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 111.3W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 111.3W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 111.2W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.8N 111.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.6N 111.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.6N 111.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.1N 111.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 110.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 18.4N 110.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 111.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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