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Summary for Tropical Storm AMANDA (EP1/EP012014)

2014-05-24 10:33:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...AMANDA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat May 24 the center of AMANDA was located near 11.4, -109.6 with movement WNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm AMANDA Public Advisory Number 7

2014-05-24 10:33:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT SAT MAY 24 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 240833 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 200 AM PDT SAT MAY 24 2014 ...AMANDA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.4N 109.6W ABOUT 630 MI...1020 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm AMANDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2014-05-24 10:33:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT MAY 24 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 240833 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 0900 UTC SAT MAY 24 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 4(14) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CLIPPERTON IS 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm AMANDA Forecast Advisory Number 7

2014-05-24 10:33:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT MAY 24 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 240833 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 0900 UTC SAT MAY 24 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 109.6W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 109.6W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.7N 110.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.9N 110.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.2N 111.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.7N 111.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 15.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 17.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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