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Remnants of Lee Forecast Discussion Number 17
2017-09-19 04:40:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017 000 WTNT44 KNHC 190240 TCDAT4 Remnants Of Lee Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017 Lee has degenerated into a tight swirl of low clouds with intermittent burst of convection, and no longer classifies as a tropical cyclone. As forecast by global models, strong upper-level westerly winds have become established over the disturbance, and this pattern should not allow regeneration. Some additional bursts of convection could still develop while the disturbance moves northwestward until dissipation in a day or so. This is the last advisory on Lee issued by the National Hurricane Center. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0300Z 15.1N 43.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 19/1200Z 16.0N 44.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Summary for Remnants of Lee (AT4/AL142017)
2017-09-19 04:39:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LEE HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Sep 18 the center of Lee was located near 15.1, -43.0 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Remnants of Lee Public Advisory Number 17
2017-09-19 04:39:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 190239 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Remnants Of Lee Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017 ...LEE HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 43.0W ABOUT 1265 MI...2035 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Lee were located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 43.0 West. The remnants of Lee are moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue until dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts and the low is expected to dissipate in a day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Remnants of Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2017-09-19 04:39:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 190239 PWSAT4 REMNANTS OF LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF LEE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 43.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Remnants of Lee Forecast Advisory Number 17
2017-09-19 04:39:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 190239 TCMAT4 REMNANTS OF LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 43.0W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 43.0W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 42.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 43.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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