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Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 43
2019-09-23 04:34:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 230234 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 43 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 500 PM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...KIKO EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY RE-STRENGTHEN LATER TONIGHT OR MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 134.5W ABOUT 1680 MI...2705 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 134.5 West. Kiko is moving toward the west-southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the west to west-northwest is expected later today followed by a turn toward the northwest on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some re-strengthening could begin later tonight or on Monday, but it is forecast to be short-lived with weakening commencing on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Depression Mario Public Advisory Number 23
2019-09-23 04:33:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 230233 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Mario Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 900 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 ...MARIO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.4N 112.9W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Mario was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 112.9 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slower north-northwest to north motion is expected during the next day or two. The remnants of Mario are expected to move over the central portion of the Baja California peninsula Monday night and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Mario is expected to become a remnant low on Monday. The low is expected to dissipate on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Karen Public Advisory Number 3A
2019-09-23 01:36:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 222336 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Karen Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122019 800 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...POORLY ORGANIZED KAREN MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 63.0W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NW OF GRENADA ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SSE OF ST. CROIX MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Grenada and its dependencies * St. Vincent and the Grenadines A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * U.S. Virgin Islands * Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra * British Virgin Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Karen. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 63.0 West. Karen is moving generally toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur later tonight or on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will continue to move away from the Windward Islands this evening, and then move across the eastern Caribbean Sea tonight and Monday. On Tuesday, Karen is expected to pass near or over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) mainly to the east of the center. The International Airport on Grenada recently reported sustained winds of 30 mph (48 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area for the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area beginning Tuesday morning. RAINFALL: Karen is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Wednesday: Windward Islands...3 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches. Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. Leeward Islands...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches. Far northeast Venezuela and Barbados...1 to 3 inches. These rains may cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Mario Public Advisory Number 22
2019-09-22 22:39:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 222039 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Mario Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142019 300 PM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 ...MARIO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BEFORE REACHING BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 112.4W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Mario was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 112.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and a turn toward the north and north-northeast is expected over the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center will move inland over the south-central Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Mario should degenerate into a remnant low later overnight. The low is expected to dissipate by late Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Jerry Public Advisory Number 22
2019-09-22 22:36:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 222036 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019 500 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...JERRY SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.7N 66.9W ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Jerry. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 66.9 West. Jerry is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Tuesday, and toward the northeast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near Bermuda Tuesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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