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Tropical Depression DOUGLAS Public Advisory Number 22
2014-07-04 04:30:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU JUL 03 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 040230 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 800 PM PDT THU JUL 03 2014 ...DOUGLAS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.9N 117.1W ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression DOUGLAS Graphics
2014-07-03 23:15:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 03 Jul 2014 20:33:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 03 Jul 2014 21:06:39 GMT
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Tropical Depression DOUGLAS Forecast Discussion Number 21
2014-07-03 22:32:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU JUL 03 2014 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 032032 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 200 PM PDT THU JUL 03 2014 Douglas's low-level center is located just to the west of a small area of deep convection. Satellite intensity estimates have decreased a bit since this morning, and a blend of the Final-T and CI numbers from TAFB, SAB, and the objective ADT support downgrading Douglas to a 30-kt depression. Continued weakening is forecast while the depression moves over increasingly cooler water and into a drier, more stable environment. Douglas is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by 24 hours, but it could become one earlier if the deep convection diminishes soon. Dissipation is still expected by day 5. Douglas continues to creep northwestward with an initial motion of 315/2 kt. Low- to mid-level ridging is expected to build over the western United States during the next 48 hours, which should cause the remnant low to turn west-northwestward and accelerate by days 3 and 4. The model guidance is in good agreement, and no significant changes were required to the official NHC track forecast in this advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/2100Z 20.6N 116.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 04/0600Z 21.0N 117.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 04/1800Z 21.6N 118.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0600Z 22.4N 119.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1800Z 23.3N 120.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 06/1800Z 24.6N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 07/1800Z 25.2N 124.9W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Tropical Depression DOUGLAS (EP4/EP042014)
2014-07-03 22:32:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DOUGLAS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 2:00 PM PDT Thu Jul 3 the center of DOUGLAS was located near 20.6, -116.8 with movement NW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression DOUGLAS Public Advisory Number 21
2014-07-03 22:32:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU JUL 03 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 032032 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 200 PM PDT THU JUL 03 2014 ...DOUGLAS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 116.8W ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.8 WEST. DOUGLAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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