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Summary for Tropical Storm DOUGLAS (EP4/EP042014)
2014-07-03 04:37:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DOUGLAS MAINTAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 the center of DOUGLAS was located near 20.2, -116.3 with movement NNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Forecast Advisory Number 18
2014-07-03 04:37:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUL 03 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 030237 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 0300 UTC THU JUL 03 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.3W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.3W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 116.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.4N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 117.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.3N 117.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.9N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.2N 122.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 24.0N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 116.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Graphics
2014-07-02 23:13:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2014 20:37:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2014 21:05:32 GMT
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Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Forecast Discussion Number 17
2014-07-02 22:36:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 022036 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 200 PM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 Convection associated with Douglas is quickly losing its organization. In addition, a 1758 UTC ASCAT-B pass indicated that the maximum winds have decreased slightly, and the initial intensity is set at 35 kt for this advisory. Visible satellite images show that dry and stable air continues to infiltrate into Douglas's circulation, and along with decreasing sea surface temperatures, will contribute to additional weakening during the next couple of days. Douglas is now forecast to become a tropical depression in 12 hours and degenerate into a remnant low by 36 hours. Douglas is creeping north-northwestward with an initial motion of 330/2 kt. However, the cyclone is expected to turn back to the northwest later tonight and eventually accelerate to the west-northwest by 48 hours when mid-level ridging builds over the western United States. Low-level ridging is forecast to steer the remnant low west-northwestward to westward between days 3 and 5. The track guidance is tightly clustered on this advisory cycle, and no significant changes were required to the NHC track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/2100Z 20.0N 116.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 03/0600Z 20.2N 116.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 03/1800Z 20.6N 116.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 04/0600Z 21.0N 117.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/1800Z 21.5N 118.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 05/1800Z 22.8N 121.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 06/1800Z 24.0N 125.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 07/1800Z 24.0N 128.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Tropical Storm DOUGLAS (EP4/EP042014)
2014-07-02 22:35:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DOUGLAS WEAKENS A LITTLE... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 the center of DOUGLAS was located near 20.0, -116.2 with movement NNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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