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Tropical Storm BARRY Graphics

2013-06-20 13:43:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 20 Jun 2013 11:43:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 20 Jun 2013 09:03:47 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm BARRY (AT2/AL022013)

2013-06-20 13:42:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CENTER OF BARRY VERY NEAR THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO... As of 7:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 the center of BARRY was located near 19.6, -96.4 with movement W at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm BARRY Public Advisory Number 12A

2013-06-20 13:42:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013 000 WTNT32 KNHC 201142 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BARRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 700 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013 ...CENTER OF BARRY VERY NEAR THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 96.4W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM NW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...5 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO TUXPAN MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT BARRY WAS VERY NEAR OR ALONG THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ. AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST. BARRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH...5 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST JUST NORTHWEST OF THE CITY OF VERACRUZ MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURING MAINLY OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...AND BARRY IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM ...EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...BARRY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm BARRY Graphics

2013-06-20 11:07:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 20 Jun 2013 08:37:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 20 Jun 2013 09:03:47 GMT

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Tropical Storm BARRY Forecast Discussion Number 12

2013-06-20 10:34:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013 000 WTNT42 KNHC 200834 TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 400 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE LAGUNA VERDE...VERACRUZ HARBOR AND SACRIFICE ISLAND STATIONS NEAR THE CITY OF VERACRUZ INDICATE THAT THE CENTER IS VERY NEAR THE COAST...AND BARRY SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ SHORTLY. THERE HAS BEEN NO APPRECIABLE CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 40 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY SEEMS LIKELY IN THE SHORT TIME REMAINING BEFORE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. WEAKENING SHOULD BE RAPID AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND AND THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH THE EXTREMELY MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR SO. THE INITIAL MOTION CONTINUES TO BE SLOWLY WESTWARD OR ABOUT 270/4. A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF BARRY SHOULD MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD MOTION UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND ABOUT IN THE MIDDLE OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE MAIN THREAT POSED BY THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE CONTINUES TO BE HEAVY RAINS THAT COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/0900Z 19.6N 96.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 20/1800Z 19.6N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 21/0600Z 19.6N 98.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA

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